Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.613192 3.841914 4.086151 4.367851 4.685704 5.035551 5.452971
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.267319 3.566617 3.901954 4.310130 4.800137 5.378488 6.127200
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.982021 3.320368 3.713743 4.213679 4.845873 5.639616 6.749443
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.766980 3.133480 3.573467 4.154705 4.926241 5.955383 7.514774
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.594100 2.981599 3.460257 4.115415 5.026158 6.316629 8.446847
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.492915 2.909623 3.440001 4.194340 5.298761 6.979489 10.074214
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.314935 2.726258 3.259136 4.034867 5.208108 7.079158 10.800146
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.225979 2.652450 3.218025 4.067617 5.411947 7.706764 12.856094
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.137551 2.572953 3.162247 4.072588 5.574248 8.312353 15.300647
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.022842 2.450632 3.037255 3.960239 5.525990 8.516243 16.939289
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.913044 2.329121 2.905484 3.825428 5.421269 8.587418 18.318764
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.883292 2.317025 2.930933 3.941767 5.784763 9.782081 25.245820
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.846824 2.301476 2.962420 4.094730 6.300697 11.742975 44.017397
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.762627 2.212146 2.875438 4.037815 6.393416 12.707582 67.299634
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.678538 2.118418 2.775225 3.947515 6.402273 13.481089 110.546182
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.609067 2.042669 2.698248 3.891508 6.481660 14.615177 291.981788
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.549175 1.978075 2.634672 3.853727 6.600714 16.085078 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.514190 1.949175 2.626904 3.921616 7.006278 19.446784 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.443611 1.862162 2.517225 3.777931 6.826470 19.682995 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.408374 1.828135 2.494165 3.805577 7.128876 23.445904 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.371558 1.789727 2.460959 3.808757 7.369209 27.712073 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.320704 1.726952 2.382051 3.707831 7.270325 29.050525 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.269964 1.662492 2.297064 3.586870 7.085713 29.333131 NaN